BACKGROUND: Hemodynamic assessment of critically ill patients is a challenging endeavor, and advanced monitoring techniques are often required to guide treatment choices. Given the technical complexity and occasional unavailability of these techniques, estimation of cardiac function based on clinical examination is valuable for critical care physicians to diagnose circulatory shock. Yet, the lack of knowledge on how to best conduct and teach the clinical examination to estimate cardiac function has reduced its accuracy to almost that of "flipping a coin."OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate the decision-making process underlying estimates of cardiac function of patients acutely admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) based on current standardized clinical examination using Bayesian methods.METHODS: Patient data were collected as part of the Simple Intensive Care Studies-I (SICS-I) prospective cohort study. All adult patients consecutively admitted to the ICU with an expected stay longer than 24 hours were included, for whom clinical examination was conducted and cardiac function was estimated. Using these data, first, the probabilistic dependencies between the examiners' estimates and the set of clinically measured variables upon which these rely were analyzed using a Bayesian network. Second, the accuracy of cardiac function estimates was assessed by comparison to the cardiac index values measured by critical care ultrasonography.RESULTS: A total of 1075 patients were included, of which 783 patients had validated cardiac index measurements. A Bayesian network analysis identified two clinical variables upon which cardiac function estimate is conditionally dependent, namely, noradrenaline administration and presence of delayed capillary refill time or mottling. When the patient received noradrenaline, the probability of cardiac function being estimated as reasonable or good P(ER,G) was lower, irrespective of whether the patient was mechanically ventilated (P[ER,G|ventilation, noradrenaline]=0.63, P[ER,G|ventilation, no noradrenaline]=0.91, P[ER,G|no ventilation, noradrenaline]=0.67, P[ER,G|no ventilation, no noradrenaline]=0.93). The same trend was found for capillary refill time or mottling. Sensitivity of estimating a low cardiac index was 26% and 39% and specificity was 83% and 74% for students and physicians, respectively. Positive and negative likelihood ratios were 1.53 (95% CI 1.19-1.97) and 0.87 (95% CI 0.80-0.95), respectively, overall.CONCLUSIONS: The conditional dependencies between clinical variables and the cardiac function estimates resulted in a network consistent with known physiological relations. Conditional probability queries allow for multiple clinical scenarios to be recreated, which provide insight into the possible thought process underlying the examiners' cardiac function estimates. This information can help develop interactive digital training tools for students and physicians and contribute toward the goal of further improving the diagnostic accuracy of clinical examination in ICU patients.TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02912624; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02912624.
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Background: after hospitalisation for cardiac disease, older patients are at high risk of readmission and death. Objective: the cardiac care bridge (CCB) transitional care programme evaluated the impact of combining case management, disease management and home-based cardiac rehabilitation (CR) on hospital readmission and mortality. Design: single-blind, randomised clinical trial. Setting: the trial was conducted in six hospitals in the Netherlands between June 2017 and March 2020. Community-based nurses and physical therapists continued care post-discharge. Subjects: cardiac patients ≥ 70 years were eligible if they were at high risk of functional loss or if they had had an unplanned hospital admission in the previous 6 months. Methods: the intervention group received a comprehensive geriatric assessment-based integrated care plan, a face-to-face handover with the community nurse before discharge and follow-up home visits. The community nurse collaborated with a pharmacist and participants received home-based CR from a physical therapist. The primary composite outcome was first all-cause unplanned readmission or mortality at 6 months. Results: in total, 306 participants were included. Mean age was 82.4 (standard deviation 6.3), 58% had heart failure and 92% were acutely hospitalised. 67% of the intervention key-elements were delivered. The composite outcome incidence was 54.2% (83/153) in the intervention group and 47.7% (73/153) in the control group (risk differences 6.5% [95% confidence intervals, CI -4.7 to 18%], risk ratios 1.14 [95% CI 0.91-1.42], P = 0.253). The study was discontinued prematurely due to implementation activities in usual care. Conclusion: in high-risk older cardiac patients, the CCB programme did not reduce hospital readmission or mortality within 6 months.
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BACKGROUND: After hospitalization for cardiac disease, older patients are at high risk of readmission and death. Although geriatric conditions increase this risk, treatment of older cardiac patients is limited to the management of cardiac diseases. The aim of this study is to investigate if unplanned hospital readmission and mortality can be reduced by the Cardiac Care Bridge transitional care program (CCB program) that integrates case management, disease management and home-based cardiac rehabilitation.METHODS: In a randomized trial on patient level, 500 eligible patients ≥ 70 years and at high risk of readmission and mortality will be enrolled in six hospitals in the Netherlands. Included patients will receive a Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) at admission. Randomization with stratified blocks will be used with pre-stratification by study site and cognitive status based on the Mini-Mental State Examination (15-23 vs ≥ 24). Patients enrolled in the intervention group will receive a CGA-based integrated care plan, a face-to-face handover with the community care registered nurse (CCRN) before discharge and four home visits post-discharge. The CCRNs collaborate with physical therapists, who will perform home-based cardiac rehabilitation and with a pharmacist who advices the CCRNs in medication management The control group will receive care as usual. The primary outcome is the incidence of first all-cause unplanned readmission or mortality within 6 months post-randomization. Secondary outcomes at three, six and 12 months after randomization are physical functioning, functional capacity, depression, anxiety, medication adherence, health-related quality of life, healthcare utilization and care giver burden.DISCUSSION: This study will provide new knowledge on the effectiveness of the integration of geriatric and cardiac care.TRIAL REGISTRATION: NTR6316 . Date of registration: April 6, 2017.
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