This study introduces a novel methodology for the post-analysis of operational predictability by leveraging timestamps collected through the Airport Collaborative Decision Making (A-CDM) framework. Focusing on the start-up and departure phases, the analysis highlights the importance of accurately planning and managing key timestamps, such as the Target Off-Block Time (TOBT) and Target Start-Up Approval Time (TSAT), which are critical for operational efficiency. Using one week of sample data from Schiphol Airport, this research demonstrates the potential benefits of the proposed framework in improving predictability during the start-up phase, particularly by identifying and analyzing outliers and anomalies. The start-up phase, a critical component of the outbound process, was broken down into subphases to allow for a more detailed assessment. The findings suggest that while 96% of flights maintain TOBT accuracy within ±20 minutes, 68% of flights miss their TOBT by 2 to 17.5 minutes, with 364 notable outliers. These deviations highlight areas for further investigation, with future work aiming to explore the impact of influencing factors such as weather, resource availability, and support tools. The proposed framework serves as a foundation for improving operational predictability and efficiency at airports.
The following paper presents a methodology we developed for addressing the case of a multi-modal network to be implemented in the future. The methodology is based on a simulation approach and presents some characteristics that make a challenge to be verified and validated. To overcome this limitation, we proposed a novel methodology that implies interaction with subjectmatter experts, revision of current data, collection and assessment of future performance and educated assumptions. With that methodology we could construct the complete passenger trajectory Door to door in Europe. The results indicate that the approach allows to approach infrastructure analysis at an early stage to have an initial estimation of the upper boundary of performance indicators. To exemplify this, we present the results for a case study in Europe.
