The full potential of predictive maintenance has not yet been utilised. Current solutions focus on individual steps of the predictive maintenance cycle and only work for very specific settings. The overarching challenge of predictive maintenance is to leverage these individual building blocks to obtain a framework that supports optimal maintenance and asset management. The PrimaVera project has identified four obstacles to tackle in order to utilise predictive maintenance at its full potential: lack of orchestration and automation of the predictive maintenance workflow, inaccurate or incomplete data and the role of human and organisational factors in data-driven decision support tools. Furthermore, an intuitive generic applicable predictive maintenance process model is presented in this paper to provide a structured way of deploying predictive maintenance solutions https://doi.org/10.3390/app10238348 LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/john-bolte-0856134/
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Three empirical models were used to fit the formation of acrylamide in crisps of three different cold-sweetened potato genotypes, fried under the same experimental conditions. Statistical methods were used to compare the performance of the models, with the "Logistic-Exponential" model performing the best. The obtained model parameters for the formation of acrylamide showed improvement in precision compared to an earlier study, the precision of the parameter estimates for the degradation of acrylamide was still problematic. Nevertheless, the predictive capacity of the "Logistic-Exponential" model was tested, as this model showed a strong correlation between parameter a and the reducing sugar content of the raw potato. The predictions from this model for the formation of acrylamide in potato crisps were close to earlier reported experimental values. Therefore, the use of the "Logistic-Exponential" model as a tool to predict acrylamide in potato crisps seems promising and should be developed further.
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Het aantal digitale documenten in bedrijfsomgevingen neemt dermate toe dat men het beoordelen ervan niet kan overlaten aan experts. Met behulp van slimme software kan men de relevantie van elektronische documenten voorspellen. Een van de nieuwste technieken is predictive coding die de voorspelling doet aan de hand van een model.
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Het doel van dit onderzoek is te onderzoeken onder welke omstandigheden en onder welke condities relatief moderne modelleringstechnieken zoals support vector machines, neural networks en random forests voordelen zouden kunnen hebben in medisch-wetenschappelijk onderzoek en in de medische praktijk in vergelijking met meer traditionele modelleringstechnieken, zoals lineaire regressie, logistische regressie en Cox regressie.
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The Short-Term Assessment of Risk and Treatability: Adolescent Version (START:AV) is a risk assessment instrument for adolescents that estimates the risk of multiple adverse outcomes. Prior research into its predictive validity is limited to a handful of studies conducted with the START:AV pilot version and often by the instrument’s developers. The present study examines the START:AV’s field validity in a secure youth care sample in the Netherlands. Using a prospective design, we investigated whether the total scores, lifetime history, and the final risk judgments of 106 START:AVs predicted inpatient incidents during a 4-month follow-up. Final risk judgments and lifetime history predicted multiple adverse outcomes, including physical aggression, institutional violations, substance use, self-injury, and victimization. The predictive validity of the total scores was significant only for physical aggression and institutional violations. Hence, the short-term predictive validity of the START:AV for inpatient incidents in a residential youth care setting was partially demonstrated and the START:AV final risk judgments can be used to guide treatment planning and decision-making regarding furlough or discharge in this setting.
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Routine immunization (RI) of children is the most effective and timely public health intervention for decreasing child mortality rates around the globe. Pakistan being a low-and-middle-income-country (LMIC) has one of the highest child mortality rates in the world occurring mainly due to vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs). For improving RI coverage, a critical need is to establish potential RI defaulters at an early stage, so that appropriate interventions can be targeted towards such population who are identified to be at risk of missing on their scheduled vaccine uptakes. In this paper, a machine learning (ML) based predictive model has been proposed to predict defaulting and non-defaulting children on upcoming immunization visits and examine the effect of its underlying contributing factors. The predictive model uses data obtained from Paigham-e-Sehat study having immunization records of 3,113 children. The design of predictive model is based on obtaining optimal results across accuracy, specificity, and sensitivity, to ensure model outcomes remain practically relevant to the problem addressed. Further optimization of predictive model is obtained through selection of significant features and removing data bias. Nine machine learning algorithms were applied for prediction of defaulting children for the next immunization visit. The results showed that the random forest model achieves the optimal accuracy of 81.9% with 83.6% sensitivity and 80.3% specificity. The main determinants of vaccination coverage were found to be vaccine coverage at birth, parental education, and socio-economic conditions of the defaulting group. This information can assist relevant policy makers to take proactive and effective measures for developing evidence based targeted and timely interventions for defaulting children.
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The full potential of predictive maintenance has not yet been utilised. Current solutions focus on individual steps of the predictive maintenance cycle and only work for very specific settings. The overarching challenge of predictive maintenance is to leverage these individual building blocks to obtain a framework that supports optimal maintenance and asset management. The PrimaVera project has identified four obstacles to tackle in order to utilise predictive maintenance at its full potential: lack of orchestration and automation of the predictive maintenance workflow, inaccurate or incomplete data and the role of human and organisational factors in data-driven decision support tools. Furthermore, an intuitive generic applicable predictive maintenance process model is presented in this paper to provide a structured way of deploying predictive maintenance solutions.
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Spontaneous speech is an important source of information for aphasia research. It is essential to collect the right amount of data: enough for distinctions in the data to become meaningful, but not so much that the data collection becomes too expensive or places an undue burden on participants. The latter issue is an ethical consideration when working with participants that find speaking difficult, such as speakers with aphasia. So, how much speech data is enough to draw meaningful conclusions? How does the uncertainty around the estimation of model parameters in a predictive model vary as a function of the length of texts used for training?
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De meest gebruikte opbouw in business intelligence, predictive analitics en analytics modellen is de moeilijkheidsgraad: 1) descriptive, 2) diagnostic, 3) predictive en 4) prescriptive. Deze schaal vertelt iets over de volwassenheid van het gebruik van data door de organisatie. Een model dat niet op zichzelf staat en een achterliggende methode kent is de data driehoek van EDM (Figuur 1), welke in dit artikel zal worden toegelicht.
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This paper presents a case study where a model predictive control (MPC) logic is developed for energy flexible operation of a space heating system in an educational building. A Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM) surrogate model is trained on the output of an EnergyPlus building simulation model. This LSTM model is used within an MPC framework where a genetic algorithm is used to optimize setpoint sequences. The EnergyPlus model is used to validate the performance of the control logic. The MPC approach leads to a substantial reduction in energy consumption (7%) and energy costs (13%) with improved comfort performance. Additional energy costs savings are possible (7–16%) if a sacrifice in indoor thermal comfort is accepted. The presented method is useful for developing MPC systems in the design stages where measured data is typically not available. Additionally, this study illustrates that LSTM models are promising for MPC for buildings.
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